TS Grace 8pm Advisory


Tropical Storm Grace is poorly organized now near Guadeloupe. Squally weather is moving across the Lesser Antilles.

As of the 8 p.m. Advisory from the National Hurricane Center:

LOCATION...16.6N 61.5W

ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM N OF GUADELOUPE

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts and Nevis, and Montserrat

* Saba and Sint Eustatius

* Sint Maarten

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy

* British Virgin Islands

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra

* Dominican Republic from Cabo Caucedo to Samana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* South coast of the Dominican Republic from the Haitian border to Cabo Caucedo

* North coast of the Dominican Republic from the Haitian border toSamana

At 800 PM, the poorly-defined center of Tropical Storm Grace was relocated to near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 61.5 West. Grace is moving quickly toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Grace is expected to pass through the Leeward Islands tonight, near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday, near or over the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday, and then near or over Haiti Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Grace is likely to weaken while it moves near and across the Greater Antilles Monday and Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday, and in the Dominican Republic Sunday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday.

Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts Saturday into Tuesday:

Over the northern Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands...3 to 6 inches. This rainfall may produce scattered areas of flash and urban flooding.

Over Puerto Rico...3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash, urban and small stream flooding and possible mudslides.

Over Haiti and the Dominican Republic...4 to 7 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding and possible mudslides from Monday into Tuesday.

By mid to late next week heavy rainfall from this system could impact portions of Cuba, the Bahamas and Florida.


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