TS Grace Weakens A Bit


Tropical Storm Grace is producing squally weather across the Lesser Antilles. Heavy rainfall across the Lesser and Greater Antilles will be a concern in the coming days.

Here's the latest info:

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...15.9N 60.7W

ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts and Nevis, and Montserrat

* Saba and Sint Eustatius

* Sint Maarten

* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy

* British Virgin Islands

* U.S. Virgin Islands

* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Punta Caucedo to Cabo Engano

* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo to Cabo Engano

Interests elsewhere in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, and Cuba should monitor the progress of Grace. Additional watches and warnings could be required for this area tonight or on Sunday.

At 5:00 PM, the center of Tropical Storm Grace was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 60.7 West. Grace is moving quickly toward the west near 26 mph (43 km/h). A motion toward the west-northwest with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of Grace is expected to move over the Leeward Islands tonight, near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday, near or over the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday, and then near or over Haiti Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Grace is likely to weaken while it moves near and across the Greater

Antilles Monday and Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the Leeward Islands tonight, and in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday.

Grace is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts Saturday into Tuesday:

Over the northern Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands...3 to 6 inches. This rainfall may produce scattered areas of flash and urban flooding.

Over Puerto Rico...3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash, urban and small stream flooding and possible mudslides.

Over Haiti and the Dominican Republic...4 to 7 inches with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash and urban flooding and possible mudslides from Monday into Tuesday.

By mid to late next week heavy rainfall from this system could impact portions of Cuba, the Bahamas and Florida.


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